MERGER MONDAY FUELS MARKET
By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
2/7/2011 2:10:58 PM Eastern Time
Friday's jobs report was akin to a much-anticipated FOMC announcement, the way the market acts the next session is a better gauge on investor sentiment. With that in mind, it's clear the Street is leaning toward a positive interpretation of the news. It would take the mother of all revisions to get the total job creation number at consensus of 140,000, or even the whisper numbers that ran as high as 200,000, net jobs created in January. The sad truth of the matter is at this point the country needs to create a net of 250,000 jobs each month, and it would still take four years to unwind the damage of the Great Recession.
For now, there is a general feeling job growth is gaining momentum, albeit at a pace that still pales to previous recoveries.
Today's session is also getting a boost from a wave of acquisition announcements. It is truly Merger Monday.
* Beckman Coulter (BEC) is being acquired by Danaher (DHR) for $5.87 billion or a 45% premium. Yet, the latter's share price is higher. This means the Street really likes this deal.
* Pride International (PDE) is being taken over by Ensco (ESV) in a $7.3 billion deal. This will create the second largest offshore driller in the world.
These are the kinds of deals that speak volumes. These deals say American businesses expect a jump in demand and understand the need to be positioned. It also speaks to the kind of bulk that companies need nowadays to compete on a global scale. After spending the last few years cutting fat, bone, and muscle companies find themselves in an odd predicament of having to jumpstart their idling engines. In some cases, this must happen overnight. This brings me to President Obama's speech before the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
The speech was telegraphed well from the State of the Union address and this past Saturday's radio address from the White House. It's all about the same stuff it has always been about with the President. Shared profits means part of what companies earn has to be diverted from the bottom line and executive bonuses. This comes from that European Enlightenment philosophy that sees businesses as part of the public domain. The notion of public-private partnerships scares the heck out of me. The American public is shareholders in the nation and the President owes them an environment that leads to better education and infrastructure.
Invoking the threat of Nazi Germany and how businesses leaped to the task of aiding the war effort isn't going to play in an atmosphere where today's business enemy is the government. Businesses overpaying for talent and effort isn't patriotic, it's a giant mistake that led to the downfall of our auto industry and pressured airlines, steel, and other industries to the brink of extinction. The pitch was made, and it fell flat. You can't force business to investment billions of dollars when they are afraid of the financial regulatory reform, healthcare reform, and the avalanche of new rules from the EPA and other government agencies.
The quid pro quo of abandoning basic business principles and jettisoning innate survival skills in favor of a re-jiggered tax code that may not yield a real reduction in tax obligations isn't going to work. Even if served with a fruitcake such a bargain would be bitter.
If President Obama would simply cut businesses a break on corporate taxes and offer a deep cut on repatriated income taxes jobs would flourish. The sad truth is current tax policy, coupled with excessive regulations, is forcing American businesses to hire and build outside the country. I think American businesses want to hire Americans. After two years of being villains there has to be serious misgivings that businesses are now being called upon to play the role of saviors. Fact is when businesses are allowed to thrive they are saviors. But, the Administration has romanticized the European model, especially the Scandinavian business model.
According to the Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, corporate social responsibility (CSR) means the goal of business must be:
> Economic Growth
> Social Development
> Environmental Consideration
Of course, business has been painted as heartless and there are so many people, particularly young people, which believe businesses are inherently mean-spirited.
Many think the mantra business leaders live by is encapsulated in a quote from Monty Burns:
"Family, religion, friends...these are the three demons you must slay if you wish to succeed in business."
The market stalled during the speech, and has pulled back a little since as a protest against the same old agenda dressed up as an olive branch. Maybe the White House will get it at some point, but not yet. Be that as it may, one thing today's visit underscores is how difficult it has become for the White House to crush businesses anymore.